NEW POLL: Oliver Larkin in Virtual Tie Against Rep.Moskowitz just 12 days until Election

Aug

2026

PRESS RELEASE

NEW POLL: Oliver Larkin in Virtual Tie Against Rep.Moskowitz just 12 days until Election

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

August 7, 2026

CONTACT

Vanlyn Ramsay, press@oliverforcongress.com (305) 537-6026

NEW POLL: Oliver Larkin, Florida DSA Congressional Candidate, in Virtual Tie Against Rep. Jared Moskowitz just 12 days until Election

FIRST IN PLAYBOOK PM

$650K in AI & Wall Street Dark Money Hits Primary This Week to Back Moskowitz, Signaling Corporate Donors are Scared of DSA Candidate Oliver Larkin

$150k Fundraising for Larkin in Past 7 Days Sets New Record for Strongest Week of Entire Campaign, With $800k Raised for the Cycle from 16,627 Unique Donors

Jewish Voice for Peace Endorsement of Larkin Further Highlights Strong Support for Insurgent DSA Campaign in Battleground Florida District

With Only 12 Days Until FL-25 Primary, Larkin’s Rapidly Growing Support Sets Stage for one of DSA’s Next Big Tests Taking on Democratic Party

FORT LAUDERDALE, FL — Today, Oliver Larkin, DSA-endorsed Congressional candidate for Florida’s 25th District (FL-25), released a new poll showing that Larkin is now in a virtual tie with Congressman Jared Moskowitz.

The new poll was conducted on August 5 by the Center for Strategic Politics, surveying 403 likely Democratic voters in Florida’s 25th Congressional District with a ±4.87% margin of error.

Key Takeaways in the New FL-25 Congressional Democratic Primary Poll:

Larkin and Moskowitz are in a statistical tie when combining responses from those who have already voted and those still waiting to vote.
- Jared Moskowitz: 40%
- Oliver Larkin: 38%
- Not sure/Can’t remember: 22%

Among Likely Voters who haven’t voted, but plan to:
- Oliver Larkin: 41%
- Jared Moskowitz: 31%
- Undecided: 28%

Larkin is winning by 10% with FL-25 voters who haven’t yet voted, and only a small number of ballots have already been cast.
28% of voters are still undecided, highlighting that this race is up for the taking, and the winner will be the candidate who mobilizes more of the later-voting base.
AIPAC support has become a deep vulnerability in districts around the country and FL-25 is no different.
43% of FL-25 Democrats are less likely to support an AIPAC-backed candidate like Moskowitz.
68% of FL-25 Democrats say they want to either reduce or cease all military aid to Israel.

With $650,000 in new dark money, including $300,000 in new AI super PAC spending and $350,000 in Wall Street spending, hitting the primary this week to back the incumbent Moskowitz, it's clear that powerful corporate donors are scared by Larkin's growing momentum.

As 28% of voters remain undecided and only a small number of ballots have already been cast, Larkin has a double digit lead among likely voters who haven't yet cast their ballots, and this race is up for the taking by whoever can best mobilize their supporters and persuade the remaining undecideds. The recent $650k infusion of pro-Moskowitz outside spending confirms the competitiveness of the race that this newly-released poll from the Center for Strategic Politics finds.

While Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) Congressional candidate wins across the country shake up Democratic primaries and elevate fellow progressives like Donavan McKinney (MI-13) in Michigan, Melat Kiros (CO-01) in Colorado, Claire Valdez (NY-07) and Darializa Avila Chevalier (NY-13) in New York, and Chris Rabb (PA-03) in Pennsylvania this summer, Larkin (the first national DSA endorsement for Congress this cycle and first in Florida history) is building endorsements, financial support, and polling momentum in the race's final 12 days.

DSA Florida Congressional Candidate Oliver Larkin:

“For months, the political establishment told us this race wasn’t competitive. Now we’re in a statistical tie because thousands of working people have built a campaign that can’t be bought. When corporate super PACs and Wall Street dump more than half a million dollars into a Democratic primary in its final days, they’re telling you exactly what they’re afraid of. They’re afraid that South Florida is ready to reject politics as usual and send someone to Congress who answers to people, not billionaires or special interests. With twelve days left, we’re going to knock every door, make every phone call, and earn every vote.”

More About Oliver Larkin

Oliver is a Fort Lauderdale native and a decade-long progressive organizer, fighting for Medicare for All, a $25 minimum wage, the Green New Deal, universal childcare, free public college, paid family and medical leave, abolishing ICE, and an end to the US-funded genocide in Gaza. He rejects all corporate PAC money.

From leading a Bernie Sanders field office in 2016 to unionizing his workplace with the NewsGuild-CWA, Oliver took what he learned and put it to work in South Florida, organizing against luxury developers, fighting toxic landfill expansion, standing with LGBTQIA+ communities, and confronting groups like Moms for Liberty and the Proud Boys alongside families, educators, and students as an active member of Broward DSA. To learn more, visit oliverforcongress.com.

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